Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010 0.000012 0.000013 0.000015 0.000017
2025-03-16 0.000007 0.000009 0.000010 0.000012 0.000015 0.000018 0.000022
2025-03-23 0.000006 0.000008 0.000010 0.000013 0.000017 0.000021 0.000029
2025-03-30 0.000006 0.000007 0.000010 0.000013 0.000018 0.000024 0.000035
2025-04-06 0.000005 0.000007 0.000009 0.000013 0.000019 0.000028 0.000043
2025-04-13 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000013 0.000020 0.000030 0.000051
2025-04-20 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000013 0.000021 0.000034 0.000061
2025-04-27 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000013 0.000022 0.000039 0.000075
2025-05-04 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000023 0.000043 0.000090
2025-05-11 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000025 0.000048 0.000109
2025-05-18 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000026 0.000053 0.000129
2025-05-25 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000028 0.000060 0.000155
2025-06-01 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000029 0.000065 0.000183
2025-06-08 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000030 0.000072 0.000222
2025-06-15 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000032 0.000080 0.000270
2025-06-22 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000032 0.000085 0.000308
2025-06-29 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000034 0.000094 0.000371
2025-07-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000014 0.000034 0.000098 0.000417
2025-07-13 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000014 0.000035 0.000107 0.000499
2025-07-20 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000014 0.000037 0.000120 0.000621
2025-07-27 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000014 0.000038 0.000130 0.000742
2025-08-03 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000014 0.000040 0.000145 0.000918
2025-08-10 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000014 0.000042 0.000158 0.001110